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Monero prediction markets

Bet on real-world outcomes, XMR only.

Short answer: 0xnull is our top-rated Monero prediction market as of 2026-09-01 (6.2/10), No KYC, ~20 min payouts.

#1

0xnull

XMR-only prediction markets with a 0.4% rake and a PGP warrant canary, but balances are custodial USD ledger entries and the same anonymous team resolves markets and controls payouts - you are trusting one operator with the money, the odds and the results.

6.2
No KYC XMR native VPN friendly XMR-native site
No welcome bonus
20 min payout XMR-native
#2

XMR.WIN

A genuinely XMR-native, zero-KYC prediction market with best-in-class agent/API integration - but it is openly custodial, run by an anonymous (ex-XMR.BAR) team, and barely three months old with almost no users. Treat it like an unproven exchange: deposit only what you are about to bet and withdraw immediately.

6
No KYC XMR native XMR-native site
No welcome bonus
payout speed unknown XMR-native

// FAQ

What are Monero prediction markets?

Betting on real-world outcomes - elections, prices, events - settled in XMR. Markets run pari-mutuel style with very low rake (around 0.4% on the one we track).

How are outcomes settled?

Each market defines its resolution source and deadline up front. Settlement is automatic once the source publishes the result.

Is this better value than casino games?

Rake is far lower than any house edge, but liquidity is thinner and resolution risk exists. It rewards research more than luck.